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Matt Frankel

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2596 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

For Salesforce to move down 35% from its 52-week high,

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

As far as tech stocks go, it's generally a low volatility name.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

So that's a really big move.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

There are solid bull and bear cases to be made when it comes to AI disrupting Salesforce's business.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

I mean, on one hand, the company is still growing the top line by double digits, not by much, but 10% is still double digit growth and generating really strong cashflow.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

Plus the AI related metrics have all been moving in the right direction.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

Annual recurring revenue from the AgentForce platform is now $800 million.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

Not a giant part of its revenue yet, but up 170% year over year.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

Plus, and this is probably the most interesting statistic, over 60% of AgentForce and Data360 bookings in the most recent quarter came from Salesforce's existing customers, not from outside of the ecosystem.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

So that indicates that it's using AI to expand its customer relationships.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

It's not losing customers and churning them.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

So on the other hand, the CRM business is growing at a pretty slow, just a single digit rate.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

And it remains to be seen if the headwinds are going to be more powerful than the AI tailwinds.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

Because like I mentioned, the AI part of the business is growing nice, but it's still a small part.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

Management seems confident with an accelerated $25 billion buyback, but I'm going to channel my inner Tyler Crowe here and say that that also says that they can't find anything better to do with $25 billion than just buy back their own stock, which for a tech company that's supposed to be fast growing and leaning into AI is also kind of a little bit of a concern.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

This is a long way to say that I think Salesforce will be relatively unscathed by the AI headwinds over the next few years.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

But beyond that, there are legitimate questions.