Matt Lanza

Yeah, so the climate change factor is just a kind of a layer of complication that's just added to everything.

And that can be said for everything beyond hurricanes too.

But from a seasonal forecasting perspective, when you're sitting in the beginning of hurricane season, you're like, all right, how bad is this gonna be?

you're looking at what are water temperatures doing?

Are they really warm?

Are they really widespread warm?

Are they just warm in a certain area?

You wanna get a sense of, is the fuel gonna be there to get these things going as the season goes on?

And in recent years, it's been kind of crazy, actually, how warm the oceans have been.

Like your initial thought is like, here we go again, another hurricane season here and this is going to be bad.

Then you just do have to think about climate change as well and how that layers into everything.

There's a whole body of research on climate change and hurricanes and how they're impacted and it's complicated and frustrating and not great overall.

So, you know, you're just trying to, I think we all pad a little bit on top of where things are just because the world we live in today.

I thrive on gallows humor.

So that's the only way you can in this, in this industry, I think.

Yeah, we're seeing more cases of storms that intensify rapidly, and it's happening right up to landfall now.

It used to be the conventional wisdom, particularly in the Gulf, was a storm would peak in intensity as it approached land, it would start to level off a little bit, and you'd have a bad storm, that's that.

But what we've seen so many times in the last six, seven, eight years is these storms that just

throw on the accelerator, they slam on it, and they never hit the brakes until they hit land.

And so you're getting all these storms that are coming ashore at their maximum intensities.