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Matt Mahan

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1833 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

you have paper wealth of $100 million.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

It could disappear tomorrow.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

The company could be one mistake, one competitor away from losing all of its value, but you 10X the calculation.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

So now theoretically for purposes of the wealth tax, you should be assessed at a billion dollars.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

You're then forced to come up with 5% of that or 50 million.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

There may not even be a market

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

for your shares, and if you try to go dump all of those shares on the market, the value's gonna plummet, and suddenly your company's worth nothing.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

So it just, I mean, this is why you've already seen, just with the proposal of this wealth tax, you've seen over a trillion dollars of capital flight from the state of California,

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

There are estimates, independent estimates.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

It was just, I'm forgetting his name now, but a researcher who spoke at Stanford the other day estimated that the net impact of this may be up to $25 billion per year in lower revenue.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

The tax when first proposed was estimated at the high end to generate $100 billion once.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

This could reduce ongoing annual revenue for the state by up to $25 billion.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

And if we lose the companies of the future, the big growth drivers and employment drivers of the state, it could actually be much worse than that in the long run.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

The accountants have been very busy creating new landing places for people, not just billionaires, but wealthier folks, business owners all over the country.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

They're creating primary residences in other places.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

And we're very vulnerable to capital flight because so much of our revenue comes from our top income earners.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

So I worry that in practice, and again, it may be the best intended proposal, I do think wealth inequality is a problem.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

I think an even bigger problem is people don't feel they can achieve the American dream and that they have the opportunity for real upward mobility.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

But this proposal is incredibly likely to backfire, which is why I've opposed it and I'm really concerned about it.

Making Sense with Sam Harris
#464 โ€” The Politics of Pragmatism and the Future of California

Not necessarily.