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Mfakeyi Makayi

πŸ‘€ Speaker
86 total appearances
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TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

But there's a problem.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

for everything that we're looking at, there are going to be an infinite number of possibilities.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

And that's because we're building three-dimensional models to fit two-dimensional data.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

So if a body was smaller and closer to the surface or larger and further away, the measurement would be the same.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

The incumbent industry deals with this problem by ignoring it.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

They pick one possible answer and act like the other ones don't exist.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

And as a result, we design suboptimal mines, make suboptimal decisions, often mining unnecessary material.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

We've invented a different way.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

We collect all the possibilities consistent with the data measured, and we do this by simulating the physical response of each of the arrangement of rocks.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

We do this 10,000 times faster by training an AI to learn the relevant physics of the rock beneath in the time it takes the conventional method to test one.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

That means we collect better data, we make better predictions of where to look next,

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

So if you had a rock body, and a rock body that's denser than the material around it, you might drill through the middle of it.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

But if you have all the hundreds of thousands of possible solutions, the best thing you can do is to collect data where you're the most uncertain and rigorously eliminate as many possibilities as possible.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

This enables us to maximize the information we get for every dollar we spend, and we do this repeatedly so we can quantify our uncertainties.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

Even after we've made an ore body discovery, we still have to contend with this uncertainty.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

We have to define the size and shape of this ore body.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

Let me illustrate how difficult this is.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

So now, a thousand meters below your feet, you drilled, you sampled the rock, and you determined that it has five percent copper.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

So now you know, you've got your data point and your observation.

TED Talks Daily
The emerging science of finding critical metals | Mfikeyi Makayi

Now I ask you to make a prediction of the concentration of copper of the person sitting next to you.