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Michael Batnick

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1852 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

There was an economic report last week, and personal consumption expenditure, basically what consumers are spending, grew 1.6% on a real basis.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

Not terrible, certainly not gangbusters.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

It's whatever.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

It's fine.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

But it was all about non-residential investment, aka AI.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

Heather Long tweeted, this is the AI economy now.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

Just incredible to see the 10.4% jump in business investment at Q1.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

That's the highest since Q2 2023, and this is the point.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

When the big semiconductor factory build-out was underway, and now it's all AI.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

And then she said, pretty tepid consumer spending.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

But it's the AI economy, and I suppose you could do worse.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

I really don't.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

So Ben and I were talking about the different handoffs that we've experienced as investors in the 21st century, from internet to mobile to cloud, AI infrastructure, inference,

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

We don't even have robots yet.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

What if robots are legitimately $5 trillion, Tam?

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

Bank of America Global Research forecasts annual humanoid robot shipments will surge from 20,000 units in 2025 to 10 million by 2025.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

by 2035, that's an 86% CAGR.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

They say the robot population could reach 300 million by 2040.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

And if they're even in the ballpark, this is another couple of trillion dollars in market cap that we're not talking about today.

The Compound and Friends
AI Takes Over the Economy, Earnings Season Scorecard, a Bid for eBay, Berkshire Post-Buffett, Uber Preview

Real quick.