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Michael Gapin

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
139 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

So there's a number of factors that are causing dollar volatility.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

And yes, usually officials, whether it's the Treasury or the Fed, will get worried about rapid movements in currency markets.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

And we did kind of get that this week.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

And we had comments by Treasury Secretary Besant today, no, we're not intervening in favor of a weaker dollar.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

So sometimes policymakers do have to step up to at least stabilize the situation and reduce volatility.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

But I would expect that these dollar concerns will be with us for some time.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

And to your point, concerns about debasement of fiat currencies, and therefore that may drive demand at certain points in time for things like crypto, Bitcoin, and gold.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

Well, I think it's akin to what Treasury Secretary Besson said in the sense of, hey, we're

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

we're going to at least come to you in the moment without expressing too much concern.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

We've got a handle on the situation.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

I would agree with you.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

I wouldn't read too much into those comments.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

And I would just read the totality of the administration's response to it, including what Secretary Besson said.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

So that said, I think what the market is concerned about is...

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

If you go all the way back to the Mar-a-Lago Accord, which was viewed as generally an expression of the administration's intent on economic and trade policy, there is a lot in that document about an overvalued currency and the negative effects that that has had on, say, U.S.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

manufacturing employment and the outsourcing of activity outside the U.S.,

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

So I think investors come to the table in this discussion thinking the administration wants a weaker dollar.

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

So they're probing, is this what you want?

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

Is this what you wanted?

Prof G Markets
Fed Holds Rates โ€” Inflation Back in Focus

And so that's where I kind of think that, therefore, they're hypersensitive to anything that the president or the treasury secretary would say around this issue.