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Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

They owned a lot of this stuff.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

And not only because they had bought the actual loans, they used derivatives to replicate the absolute worst of them.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

So it's like the stupidest loans, in theory, replicate them infinitely.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

And so not only did we have like hundreds of billions of really dumb loans, but you had possibly infinite number of similarly stupid bets, all kind of concentrated in the heart of the financial system.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

On the other side of this,

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

were a handful of smart people who took the other side of the bets.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

And my book, The Big Short, tells the story of the financial crisis through the eyes of the people who were on the right side of the bet.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

All right, the market wakes up to how bad these loans are.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

The banks all basically would have failed.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

Even the ones that didn't go all in on it, where they were so tied to the other banks.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

The whole financial system was going down, like bankrupt.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

If this had happened in 1929 before the Federal Reserve grew a pair, it would have been just depression.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

It would have been 35% unemployment.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

It would have been cataclysmic.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

The Federal Reserve and the U.S.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

government steps in and guarantees.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

Basically, I mean, this is crude.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

Think of it as they guarantee all the loans.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

They say, we're going to make everybody whole.

Morning Brew Daily
Author Michael Lewis on 10 Years of “The Big Short," AI Bubble, and Sports Gambling

We're going to take these off.