Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
So November 2012 was the first halving.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
It was at $12.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
So if you bought it at $12 or in early 2013, it was $11.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
But let's say you bought it the first halving, end of 2012, and you put $12,000 in.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
That would have gotten you 1,000 Bitcoin.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
So that 1,000 Bitcoin for a $12,000 investment, if you did nothing but hold it between then and now, is now worth $115 million today.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
Can't think of any other investment that would do that well over a 12-year period, a 12-and-a-half-year period or so.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
And on the other hand, if you did what I propose in my book, which is hold Bitcoin for three years and hold fiat for one year, that way you're able to sell at the top of the cycle and then buy back at the bottom.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
Now, 2012 was near the end of the cycle, so you would have only had to hold another year.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
It went up 100x.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
It went from 12 to 1,200.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
Now, you probably weren't going to go and guess the exact high, but...
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
And that first cycle was probably the hardest one to guess because there was limited information.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
It was the first having.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
But if you were able to get out at around $1,000, you would have turned your $12,000 investment into a million dollars.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
You hold on to that for a year.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
Crash, crash, crash, crash, crash.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
I kind of knew that the bottom was in at about 171 because it was just, even the short sellers like saying, I don't know if I, there wasn't really much short selling going on then other than, you know, some foreign exchanges.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
But even the ones that were like, you know, sort of like bears were like saying, you know, I think this is probably as low as it's going to go.
Digital Social Hour
Michael Terpin: What Billionaires Arenât Telling You About Bitcoinâs Next Cycle | DSH #1622
And it takes forever to crawl back from that.