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Michael Woolhouse

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
361 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

net or better.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

That is, I think, what buyers in this market, and we would be part of that, are targeting for our investors at a deal level.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

So to that end, that gives you some insight into what the general partner sees ahead of them.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

When you look at them, the incentives, like do they really believe it, is an important question because we have to make our judgments.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

In a typical CV deal, if you sort of think about it,

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

The general partner has the opportunity to take five times the money off the table.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

That means a very meaningful carry check plus realizing five times on their GP commitment, their GP co-invest.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

And they're making a proactive choice not to do that.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

And, and.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

If you really truly have that choice today, in other words, you could sell the business if you wish to, but you're choosing not to, when you put that money back on the table, in these deals, sponsors tend to roll 100% of the proceeds from the sell side of the deal.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

The only way that's economically rational

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

is if they really believe that there is another three to four times the money from here.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

And I think that range is generally speaking what the sponsor would say is on offer.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

Most buyers would bring a skeptical lens to that and be more conservative in how they underwrite.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

But I think as an upside case, that is certainly what most buyers in our market are looking for and more conservatively underwrite the investment into the 2X 20% range that I described.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

This is still a relatively nascent market.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

So we have yet to see a large number of realizations proving out what I just said.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

That having been said, there are reports, industry reports that both Evercore and Morgan Stanley, those two groups in particular, put out there on a regular basis.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

And what they have concluded so far as they look across the market is that continuation vehicles offer returns as high, if not higher than buyout.

How I Invest with David Weisburd
E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

with lower risk as measured by lower loss ratios.