Mike Baker
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Appearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
But here again, the details are few and far between.
Reuters reported that one version of the agreement includes the release of approximately $25 billion in frozen Iranian assets.
Bloomberg reviewed a separate draft that reportedly contained no specific dollar figure.
Meanwhile, Iranian media outlets have suggested Tehran wants significant sanctions relief and access to frozen funds before broader negotiations even begin.
Those discrepancies highlight the central challenge facing outside observers.
There doesn't appear to be a single publicly available text.
Instead, as mentioned, there are multiple versions, each emphasizing different concessions and different timelines.
Another provision attracting attention is a reported commitment by the U.S.
and regional partners to support a reconstruction and economic development program for Iran or the Iranian regime worth at least $300 billion if a final agreement is eventually reached.
Now, that, of course, is a rather large number of fat stacks.
And naturally, it raises a host of questions.
Who would provide that funding?
The Gulf states, Western governments, international institutions?
And how much of that figure represents an actual commitment versus, again, aspirational language designed to encourage future negotiations?
At this stage, there are far more questions than answers.
And perhaps someone could explain the logic in providing the existing Iranian regime and the IRGC with upwards of $300 billion to rebuild and develop, after decades of watching the same regime divert billions of dollars to their nuclear and missile programs.
Then there's the issue that helped trigger this conflict in the first place, Iran's nuclear program.
Perhaps the most important takeaway from the leaked drafts is what they don't appear to do.
None of the versions currently circulating seem to permanently resolve the nuclear question.
Instead, Iran would reportedly reaffirm that it does not intend to develop nuclear weapons while both sides enter a new round of negotiations focused on uranium enrichment, stockpiles of enriched material, and the future of Iran's nuclear infrastructure.