Mike Pesca

First of all, we all know about margin of error, and you can't really expect a poll to get it right within one point or two points.

If you...

talk to 4,000 people and you could correctly figure out where, and you nail where 2,000 are going, but you don't nail where 1,770 are going, you didn't do a bad job.

And that's essentially what the pollsters did.

And if you look at the really close states, they were, I think they missed a little in Arizona, but they were within like a point and a half in Michigan and a point and a half in Wisconsin and a point or a,

Two points in Pennsylvania.

They actually did really well in the margin of error.

And Nate Silver, who I guess took some heat because he said, it's very, very, very close.

But he thought Kamala Harris, he didn't think his numbers show Kamala Harris would win.

Although he wrote an article in the New York Times two weeks before saying, that's what the numbers say.

My gut says Trump's going to win.

He had...

day before the election, a chart of all the likely outcomes or all the possible outcomes in terms of the electoral college.

And if you look at his chart, the number one outcome that he predicted would happen, the most likely outcome, was Trump winning exactly 312 electoral votes.

How many electoral votes did Trump win?

322, was it?

312.

312.

Geez.

You know, I did watch Nate Silver.