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Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

That's only about 500 bucks below the current Bitcoin price as it is now.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

No, but they only started buying in August 2020.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

But as well as that, because of the way it worked, it was kind of a bit of a hype cycle.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

So the higher Bitcoin would go, the easier it was to raise money.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

And so once they raised money, they were pumping straight into Bitcoin.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

So they were always buying high as well.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

But remember, the average price is only about 500 bucks below the current Bitcoin price.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

And Bitcoin is up about 20% in the last two months as well.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

So when Bitcoin came down from...

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

I think it peaked at about 125, 126 grand last year, and it fell as low as 60 something.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

The stock actually outpaced the price of Bitcoin falling.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

So that kind of leveraged amplifying returns is the same the other direction as well.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

The company is no longer carrying the premium it once had.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

And so it's basically priced its market cap is the equivalent to its book value in terms of what it holds in Bitcoin, slightly less even.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

And then just the fact that they have billions of dollars of debt to service mean that it's caught in this weird Schrodinger's

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

bankruptcy situation where when it has to service that debt it'll likely need to sell bitcoin to do it and then as the world's largest bitcoin holder selling that is not going to help matters it's going to make the bitcoin crash and because of the bitcoin crashing then that could end up crashing the stock and it's like this death spiral so

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

yeah look it on paper is perhaps one of the most successful pivots we've ever seen just the last six years of performance alone if you take out the last nine months say

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

Crazy.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

Like it was up 30 fold in the space of five and a half years.

Stock Club
#308: The Best and Worst Business Pivots

But it is also, and I'm repeating this again, but I think it's a complete house of cards.