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Morgan Housel

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
3750 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

And we actually did that at the end of World War II when debt was about as high as it is right now.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

I think we're a little bit higher right now, but as a percentage of GDP about what it is right now.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

And if you go back and you read what they said about that in 1945, 1946, they were shitting their pants about it.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

And true to your forecast, the prevailing view was there's nothing we can do about this.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

It's just too much and this is the end of the empire.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

That was the prevailing view.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

And you mix that with you had a tremendous amount of stimulus from World War II that was immediately being withdrawn.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

And so tons of debt and the economy is going to slow no matter what.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

Not a good scenario.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

Everyone's freaking out.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

In hindsight, we know how the story end, which is what the story ended pretty well.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

There was recessions in 1946 and 1952.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

It wasn't pure roses back then, but by and large, we did pretty well.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

And we didn't pay the debt off.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

And this is one quirk that I think people get wrong.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

Individuals have to pay their debt off.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

There will come a time in the future, whether that time is death or before that, when you have to pay your debt off.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

Countries are not like that.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

Countries can be in debt for perpetuity.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Housing Crisis and Toxic Inequality: Why the American Dream Is Stalled for Millennials | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu

They can be in debt forever.