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Morgan Housel

πŸ‘€ Speaker
6219 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Modern Wisdom
#1055 - Morgan Housel - Mastering the Art of Spending Money

Thank you.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

Yes.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

I don't think I have substantial pushback to what you said, but I would say this.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

If you said what you just said verbatim to me in 2008, 15 some odd years or whatever that was, 17 years ago, I would have agreed with every word too.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

If you said that to me in 2004, and people were saying this in 2008, that argument that you just said was everywhere.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

It was everywhere.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

That was the most popular argument was the dollar's doomed, too much debt, you can never grow your way out of it.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

2007, 2008, that was the narrative.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

And it didn't happen, at least to the extent that it did.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

So it's not to say that it can't.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

Of course it can, it's happened elsewhere.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

But I think the mechanism that will cause it is not as obvious as it can be made out to be.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

And I would say this, as recently as this year, in the last eight weeks,

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

When shit hits the fan, what do people buy?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

By and large, it's still treasuries and dollars.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

And so people can say they don't trust the dollar printing too much money.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

You can say that all too long.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

They say that, but what do they actually do with their money?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

Now, will that last forever?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

Probably not.