Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Libraries Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Morgan Housel

πŸ‘€ Speaker
6219 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

An average across everybody, across all households.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

Really, it has already come down.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

It has been coming down for 15 years and is at a level now that we haven't really seen in 20 or 30 years.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

I think probably a lot of that.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

Well, it's a couple of things.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

Some of it is bad, which is that the home ownership rate among the young generation is much less than it used to be.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

And so they don't have mortgage debt.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

They would love to have mortgage debt.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

The best thing in their life would be to have some mortgage debt, but they don't, they're renting, which is not debt.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

So that's part of it.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

I think there's also in a good way,

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

Still the aftershock scars of 2008 that made a lot of people, particularly millennials, scared of debt in a great way, particularly credit card debt.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

And so their aversion to it, there's still a trillion plus dollars of credit card debt since it hasn't gone away, but as a share of income relative to what it was in the late 90s, early 2000s, it's much lower today.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

And here's another thing.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

I've written about this before.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

This gets a little technical, but government debt as a share of GDP has gone way up.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

We've established that.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

Household debt and corporate debt as a share of their income has gone down.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

And if you average those two things together, the whole pot, all economic debt, government, private, corporate, everything, all debt as a share of all income,

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

It's gone up.