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My Bui

👤 Speaker
95 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

But I think on a city level, I don't think it is any concern in any single city at the moment.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

So let's look at the price change from the peak of last year in Sydney and Melbourne.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

So Sydney prices are down 2% from the peak.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

In Melbourne, they are down 3% from the peak.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

So essentially, you're only in negative equities if you have a 2% or 3% deposit.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

Who has that minimum?

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

Even if you're a personal buyer, you have to have a 5% deposit and prices haven't fallen by 5% yet.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

Yes, it will over the next financial year, but so far, I don't think it is a concern.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

And second of all, I think that when you have a 20% deposit, which is the case for the vast majority of people, we don't foresee a 20% house price decline over the cycle in Australia.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

So for most people, I don't think this should be a concern even in the next 12 months.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

For first-home buyers, which got into the market over the last few months with the 5% deposit scheme that has been expanded recently by the government, I think it is definitely more of a concern.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

And I think this has been the focus from the media over the past few weeks or so.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

Yes, it definitely is a bit of a concern for me, especially in terms of Sydney and Melbourne.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

But...

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

Again, you know, you, you, you purchase economists.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

We always say, but there's always two sides of the story.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

Number one, I think if you, you buying that place to live in, I don't think that negative equity over the short term should be a concern to you because again, you're still paying for somewhere for you to live.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

It's not an investment.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

It's more of a concern if it's an investment property.

The Briefing
Barnaby Joyce’s on-air backflip + Are house prices really falling?

And if you're buying to live somewhere, then the support of the housing market is actually the labor market, which remains quite okay in Australia.