Nabeel Bhatti

has landed in 17 of Liverpool's last 19 games.

17 of 21 overall in the league this season.

But we know those first two games were very exciting for Liverpool.

They went over the 4-2 win against Bournemouth, the 3-2 away win against Newcastle when Liverpool were down to 10 men and allowed Newcastle back into the game.

Since then, if you take off those two games and look at the last 19, only two of them have gone over four and a half goals.

So 17 of 19 have stayed under.

That's why I think it's a safe tack on.

Burnley are going to come here to try and be tight and defensive.

Liverpool are going to get the breakthrough.

When they travelled to Burnley, Liverpool needed 93 minutes off.

to open up the scoring.

They got themselves a lucky 1-0 win via a Mo Salah penalty.

So Burnley will feel that they know how to contain Liverpool and they'll come to Anfield and try and do the same thing.

So I don't think we'll get the five goals.

So Liverpool and under four and a half goals is what I'm going with here for this one.

Up next, you have Sunderland at home to Crystal Palace and the books cannot separate these two teams.

It's 13-8 on both of them on the money line.

It's 11-5 here on the draw.

These odds don't really make too much sense to me, given the fact that Crystal Palace are a dumpster fire at the moment and things aren't going to be helped with the sale of Mark Gahey to Man City.

That's their captain.