Nate Cohn

Looking farther down the line, say, to 2028, there's a new opportunity for Democrats to try and capitalize on these issues.

But it's worth noting that they don't enter with much credibility on affordability either.

It's not obvious to me that they are teed up to fare exceptionally well or as well as you might guess, given the president's approval rating.

They have their work cut out for them.

So we didn't ask them in the poll, but I think it's worth...

juxtaposing two different findings that the poll had.

One was that we asked people whether they'll vote for Democrats or Republicans in the midterm election.

And Democrats led by five among registered voters.

It's quite a bit better than ahead of the 2024 election when the Republicans, as you know, won the popular vote, not only for the presidency, but also for the House of Representatives.

On the other hand, we ask people whether they see themselves as Democrats or Republicans.

And more people still consider themselves Republicans than Democrats.

So people are dissatisfied with Trump.

They may now be open to the Democrats should the Democrats be able to put forward a message that convinces them to support them.

But they haven't yet turned toward the Democrats in the same way, by the way, that voters did turn towards the Republicans during the Biden era in no small part because Trump had credibility on these issues already.

It's also worth noting that in the poll, more people blame Joe Biden for our biggest economic problems still than Donald Trump.

And this may be really counterintuitive, but when we asked people how well the economy is doing, more people say the economy is doing well than at any other point in our polling since the pandemic.

Wow.

So even as they disapprove of how Trump is handling the economy, people do seem to gradually be feeling better about the economy over the last year and over the last few years.

Now, it may mostly be Republicans coming around to the Trump economy, but the proportion of voters who say the economy is good or excellent has gone up seven points since the election.

And it's gone up a lot more than that since, say, 2022, when inflation was peaking.