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Nate Hagens

πŸ‘€ Speaker
3215 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

Because they are this channel's work.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

The landscape itself has two features.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

Valleys, which are the stable states where systems settle and reinforce themselves.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

And hills, or more technically, ridges.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

which are the barriers between these valleys, the cost of transitioning from one stable state to another.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

The valleys and the ridges are the terrain of the future.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

We don't choose them.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

They're given to us by physics, ecology, and history.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

But there are things humans can do to that terrain, two general categories.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

We can create switchbacks

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

use physical or social technology to carve paths up ridges that would otherwise be too steep to cross.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

So building more social trust, that's switchbacking.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

Restoring depleted soil, creating cooperative institutions, those are switchbacks.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

They make crossings of the ridges possible that weren't possible before.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

On the other hand, we can erode the trail.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

Through actions or just through plain neglect, we let the paths disappear and then the ridges do become impassable.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

Depleting fossil aquifers or soil, losing civic norms, building surveillance infrastructure that can't be dismantled.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

These are all examples of erosion.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

And if erosion happens fast, it leads to washouts of all the switchbacks that have been built.

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
How to Think About the Future (Part 3): Uphill Futures in a Downhill World | Frankly 145

And these washouts do not have to be intentional.