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Nate Silver

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
833 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

And it can kind of play poker better than a human, although there are a lot of caveats there, right? One is that humans are not playing poker perfectly. The whole thing you learn about poker strategy, we actually like study how computers play poker. But the computers must be very honest. Computers fucking bluff all the time. One discovery they made is that you have to bluff a ton in poker.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

And it can kind of play poker better than a human, although there are a lot of caveats there, right? One is that humans are not playing poker perfectly. The whole thing you learn about poker strategy, we actually like study how computers play poker. But the computers must be very honest. Computers fucking bluff all the time. One discovery they made is that you have to bluff a ton in poker.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

And it can kind of play poker better than a human, although there are a lot of caveats there, right? One is that humans are not playing poker perfectly. The whole thing you learn about poker strategy, we actually like study how computers play poker. But the computers must be very honest. Computers fucking bluff all the time. One discovery they made is that you have to bluff a ton in poker.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

That's what makes people have an incentive to pay you off when you have a real hand.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

That's what makes people have an incentive to pay you off when you have a real hand.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

That's what makes people have an incentive to pay you off when you have a real hand.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

Right, it depends on the size of the pot and it depends on cards that come in other things, right? But you have to bluff a lot and also concealing information, although it's intuitive if you think it's poker, it's a game of limited information, but you want to be very deceptive.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

Right, it depends on the size of the pot and it depends on cards that come in other things, right? But you have to bluff a lot and also concealing information, although it's intuitive if you think it's poker, it's a game of limited information, but you want to be very deceptive.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

Right, it depends on the size of the pot and it depends on cards that come in other things, right? But you have to bluff a lot and also concealing information, although it's intuitive if you think it's poker, it's a game of limited information, but you want to be very deceptive.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

Sometimes you want to slow play with a strong hand that's very important or check a strong hand just to avoid giving away too much information.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

Sometimes you want to slow play with a strong hand that's very important or check a strong hand just to avoid giving away too much information.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

Sometimes you want to slow play with a strong hand that's very important or check a strong hand just to avoid giving away too much information.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

If you know that a certain player bluffs just a little bit too much, then all of a sudden, a huge number of your hands are calling that would be folding before, or vice versa. Or things like, this player tends to make a big bet when they have a bad hand as a bluff, and a small bet when they have a good hand. You love that type of player, right?

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

If you know that a certain player bluffs just a little bit too much, then all of a sudden, a huge number of your hands are calling that would be folding before, or vice versa. Or things like, this player tends to make a big bet when they have a bad hand as a bluff, and a small bet when they have a good hand. You love that type of player, right?

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

If you know that a certain player bluffs just a little bit too much, then all of a sudden, a huge number of your hands are calling that would be folding before, or vice versa. Or things like, this player tends to make a big bet when they have a bad hand as a bluff, and a small bet when they have a good hand. You love that type of player, right?

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

It's like, okay, so now when you have a good hand, I can get away cheaply, maybe even fold, or at least pay you only a small amount. But when you're making a big bluff, then you're not balancing your strategy.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

It's like, okay, so now when you have a good hand, I can get away cheaply, maybe even fold, or at least pay you only a small amount. But when you're making a big bluff, then you're not balancing your strategy.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

It's like, okay, so now when you have a good hand, I can get away cheaply, maybe even fold, or at least pay you only a small amount. But when you're making a big bluff, then you're not balancing your strategy.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

Maybe 100%. More short, it's maybe 70-30 math versus psychology. And it's also like a type of discipline. In the abstract, there are computer programs you can study with and coaching videos. I have a poker coach who's kind of the poker equivalent of a trainer, basically. But can you execute when all of a sudden you're playing for like $50,000?

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
Nate Silver (statistician)

Maybe 100%. More short, it's maybe 70-30 math versus psychology. And it's also like a type of discipline. In the abstract, there are computer programs you can study with and coaching videos. I have a poker coach who's kind of the poker equivalent of a trainer, basically. But can you execute when all of a sudden you're playing for like $50,000?