Nate Silver

You can say, well, Nate has infinite units of utility and you guys have 0.01 because you're not physically dead. Maybe you get to watch TV once a week or something. You get to nap. You're so generous. Yeah, you get to eat at Arby's now and then, right?

You can say, well, Nate has infinite units of utility and you guys have 0.01 because you're not physically dead. Maybe you get to watch TV once a week or something. You get to nap. You're so generous. Yeah, you get to eat at Arby's now and then, right?

I have built models. I know how even when you have awesome data like you have in baseball, it's like a game that has structure and rules. I know how much you can have a garbage in, garbage out problem. And some parameters are robust, but you can change them and the output's about the same. And some are not.

I have built models. I know how even when you have awesome data like you have in baseball, it's like a game that has structure and rules. I know how much you can have a garbage in, garbage out problem. And some parameters are robust, but you can change them and the output's about the same. And some are not.

I have built models. I know how even when you have awesome data like you have in baseball, it's like a game that has structure and rules. I know how much you can have a garbage in, garbage out problem. And some parameters are robust, but you can change them and the output's about the same. And some are not.

Meaning you make an assumption and it totally radically changes and overwhelms everything else in the system. One irony is in some ways I trust the poker players more and the traders more and people like that because they actually have skin in the game. If they are wrong.

Meaning you make an assumption and it totally radically changes and overwhelms everything else in the system. One irony is in some ways I trust the poker players more and the traders more and people like that because they actually have skin in the game. If they are wrong.

Meaning you make an assumption and it totally radically changes and overwhelms everything else in the system. One irony is in some ways I trust the poker players more and the traders more and people like that because they actually have skin in the game. If they are wrong.

So in some ways, the demise of Twitter was mispredicted, right? People thought, oh, the engineers will leave and Twitter will basically collapse the infrastructure, which it hasn't happened. It remains very influential. But you could say that Elon Musk spent $44 billion, certainly by the time he bought it and was trying to find ways out,

So in some ways, the demise of Twitter was mispredicted, right? People thought, oh, the engineers will leave and Twitter will basically collapse the infrastructure, which it hasn't happened. It remains very influential. But you could say that Elon Musk spent $44 billion, certainly by the time he bought it and was trying to find ways out,

So in some ways, the demise of Twitter was mispredicted, right? People thought, oh, the engineers will leave and Twitter will basically collapse the infrastructure, which it hasn't happened. It remains very influential. But you could say that Elon Musk spent $44 billion, certainly by the time he bought it and was trying to find ways out,

Probably knowing that's like not a good ROI from a hero financial standpoint. He's going to lose money on that. But he's willing to spend, let's say, half of that, right? Let's say the real value is $20 billion. So he's spending $25 billion on a cultural and political project. And maybe it's paid off. He's still the richest man in the world.

Probably knowing that's like not a good ROI from a hero financial standpoint. He's going to lose money on that. But he's willing to spend, let's say, half of that, right? Let's say the real value is $20 billion. So he's spending $25 billion on a cultural and political project. And maybe it's paid off. He's still the richest man in the world.

Probably knowing that's like not a good ROI from a hero financial standpoint. He's going to lose money on that. But he's willing to spend, let's say, half of that, right? Let's say the real value is $20 billion. So he's spending $25 billion on a cultural and political project. And maybe it's paid off. He's still the richest man in the world.

In fact, his wealth has only increased since Trump's election. So it's kind of pocket change to him. And I think it has had a huge effect on the discourse. I don't blame Silicon Valley for saying, hey, we're going to stand up and defend our interests. I think they felt that they were getting a hard time from the White House on antitrust stuff, which maybe they should get.

In fact, his wealth has only increased since Trump's election. So it's kind of pocket change to him. And I think it has had a huge effect on the discourse. I don't blame Silicon Valley for saying, hey, we're going to stand up and defend our interests. I think they felt that they were getting a hard time from the White House on antitrust stuff, which maybe they should get.

In fact, his wealth has only increased since Trump's election. So it's kind of pocket change to him. And I think it has had a huge effect on the discourse. I don't blame Silicon Valley for saying, hey, we're going to stand up and defend our interests. I think they felt that they were getting a hard time from the White House on antitrust stuff, which maybe they should get.

I'm just saying this is their mindset. And they're tired of their woke, progressive employees. And meanwhile, the news media has become very anti-tech.

I'm just saying this is their mindset. And they're tired of their woke, progressive employees. And meanwhile, the news media has become very anti-tech.

I'm just saying this is their mindset. And they're tired of their woke, progressive employees. And meanwhile, the news media has become very anti-tech.