Nathaniel Whittemore

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Welcome back to the AI Daily Brief.

Right now, the annual World Economic Forum is going on in Davos.

And as much as people love to hate on the event, it is a good chance every year to see the pulse of where the conversation is among global leaders.

And while this year, of course, much of the conversation is focused around Greenland, there is another profound shift that is also getting a significant amount of airtime, which is, of course, AI, but not just AI in general, but specifically the way that timelines are accelerating.

Both Anthropix's Dario Amadei and Google DeepMind's Demis Hassabis had numerous interviews yesterday.

In fact, Dario almost feels like he's on a little press tour.

And let's just say many of the headlines were pretty significantly attention-grabbing.

For both of these folks, AGI timelines are shifting forward.

Now, Demis has it on a five-year timeline, and I think overall, sort of gives the impression that his sense is that the last mile to AGI is perhaps more difficult than we give it credit for.

In other words, not just a matter of throwing more compute and recursively self-improving code, Dario, on the other hand, thinks that things are coming much more quickly.

He's putting AGI on much closer to a two-year timeline, and honestly one gets the impression when watching these interviews that he actually thinks it's even closer than that, and that the two-year timeline almost feels like him hedging to not sound insane.

This, I think, is important context for some of the comments that got the most attention.

which came when Amodei said that he believed that selling chips to China was akin to selling nukes to North Korea.

Now, these comments came during a joint interview with Demis Hassabis, during which, of course, the Trump administration's recent approval of Nvidia selling advanced chips to China was a major topic of conversation.

Amadei argued that the administration was making a, in his words, a major mistake that could have incredible national security implications.