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Nick Goodall

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2177 total appearances
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Podcast Appearances

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

We haven't really heard from that too.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So that's going to have an influence, I think, on a broader perspective.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So yeah, that's why I think it's so interesting at the moment.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

The other thing I just want to touch on really briefly was we did have a couple of other, you know, those faster moving economic releases.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

We had the performance of services index, which is obviously a pretty important one for February, came out last week.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

That wasn't really good, but then the retail card spending data was better.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

Selected price indices data, which I think makes 45% of the basket that came through too, showed higher inflation than expected in February.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So look, I don't want to go into too great a detail here, but I think ultimately, again, all this does is reinforce what we're talking about, which is we've got a stuttering economy.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

It still hasn't even taken off

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

you know, really before all this conflict happened, it's going to have downward pressure on the broader economy.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

And so, you know, we're in a pretty precarious position from an economic perspective.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

And as you said, that means probably some downward pressure on inflation over the longer term.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

But also we are in a heightened

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

inflation position too because it is higher than we thought you know all the other things that we're measuring and that's like food prices and and those insurances and all the other things are proving more sticky and longer lasting than we expected and so those are holding up more and maybe that means that reserve bank does need to do more to reduce the inflation of those things because if they're playing paying higher inflation for all those things on top of petrol that is not a good situation and they need to control that domestic inflation as well so

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

Yeah, it does put you and put them in particular in a pretty sticky spot.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

You know, there's the term stagflations come back again, you know, that we're going to see a stagnant economy with inflation continuing to grow, which is the worst position for us to be in from a reserve bank perspective.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So, yeah, tricky spot.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

We'll wait and see what they say.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

I don't know, is there anything else you want to add on that lasting conversation around the economy, Calvin?

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

And then I just want to talk about a few things