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Nick Martell

👤 Speaker
26510 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

Who's getting dunked on?

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

Kind of like Nike and Starbucks.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

And finally, one New York City bar just gave away $15,000 of free drinks if the Knicks won, and they did.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

But here's the crazy catch.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

The bar didn't have to pay for that $15,000 of free drinks that they comped their customers.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

Because at the same time they announced this promotion, free drinks if the Knicks win.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

They made a prediction on Kalshi that the Knicks would win.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

So they hedged themselves like an investment firm, Jack.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

They lost $15,000 on the free drinks because the Knicks won, but they made $15,000 on the prediction markets because the Knicks won.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

Jack feels like a scene out of season seven of Billions.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

Now, time for the best fact yet, which is an answer to our T-boy trivia.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

Jack, what do we got?

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

All right, so the question was, how often does Elon achieve the goals that he states publicly?

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

In the last 15 years, of his 602 goals, Jack, what percentage of the time was Elon on time?

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

He achieved 19% of his goals on time.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

Interesting.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

Now, 35% of the time, Elon was late or just didn't accomplish the goal.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

33% of the time, Elon never told us if he achieved the goal or not, and we can't confirm publicly because only he has the data.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

And for 13% of the time, those deadlines are still in the future and we're just not there yet.

The Best One Yet
🏖️ “1st Time in Puerto” — Song of Summer, by AI. Salt & Straw’s $200M ice cream. The WFH Hangover. +Elon’s prediction rate

We'll have to wait.