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Nicolas Owens

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292 total appearances
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The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

The way I interpret it is the company has a cost advantage in its ability to put stuff into space.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And they kind of rinsed and repeated that many, many, many times, many more times than any competitor.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And so there's a possibility that they could have a data center in space that has an operating cost, slight edge compared to terrestrial because the solar energy is free and the cooling is free.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

So let's sort of,

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

Leave that as the depth of the science that we would get into.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

If you so if you believe that and you believe that it's compelling, let's say from a financial point of view, that's one scenario that we modeled.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And I think that's the scenario that the market is assuming is totally true.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And that's where you get to the, you know, one hundred seventy dollars on the first day and two hundred something a day.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

as a share price.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

We valued that scenario at $154 a share.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

The problem is it's not 100% likely to be that way, right?

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

So the two things that need to happen are Starship, the giant new model rocket, the top part of that has to be reusable

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

In order for them to launch all these satellites, they have put in a permit request for up to a million data center satellites, which I think is a bit high.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

You don't need that many for it to work.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

But thousands of satellites, they need to launch these like hundreds of launches a year, like more than one a day.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And that requires the Starship to be able to relaunch quickly, not like after six months having all the tiles replaced or what have you.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And so that's not proven.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

They just did a test run of Starship.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

They didn't reuse the top portion.

The Rundown
What’s SpaceX Really Worth? This Analyst Says $63 a Share

And so we'll see in the next year or two how the engineering plays out.