Nicole Lapin

But trying to time the dip and the recovery in the overall market is way more of a challenge.

In other words, I just wouldn't do it.

So how long will we see oil go up?

What should we do with our portfolios?

Well, none of us can predict the future, but here's my take.

The market's resilience on Monday was actually quite a tell.

Strikes were anticipated.

The U.S.

military buildup in the region had been building for weeks.

Two carrier strike groups, an unprecedented pre-positioning of air power, all of it telegraphed.

Traders had time to adjust.

That's why the market recovered instead of cratering.

The scenario that should worry you isn't what we know.

It's what we don't know.

A surprise attack on Saudi Arabia's oil infrastructure.

a full Strait of Hormuz closure, or Iran successfully bringing in a major player as a military backer.

Those are the risks that could change the equation entirely.

The smart move right now isn't panic, and it definitely isn't blind optimism, but it is understanding what a conflict actually means for each asset class in your portfolio and making intentional choices, not reactive ones.

For today's tip, you can take straight to the bank.

Consider adding an energy royalty company to your portfolio rather than a traditional oil stock.