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Nicole Servi

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
46 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

Thanks for having me.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

Yeah.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

So if you're an investor looking for yield, that's a great thing.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

But if you are a government trying to issue debt, not so great of a thing.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

Yes.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

And so when we were talking about sovereign bond yields, what we're essentially talking about is the cost of borrowing.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

And so with the cost of borrowing going up across the globe, if you're issuing debt, it's just going to be more and more expensive to do that.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

And this comes at a time where no matter what advanced economy you're looking at, the fiscal outlook is daunting because of a variety of factors.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

And if I need to issue more debt, my interest expense is only going to go up exponentially if the cost of that debt is also rising.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

I think that's generally right, but I also think it depends on the country you're talking about.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

You have some countries across the globe that are, let's say, more into fiscal austerity and more willing to take on that fight than others.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

For instance, even if you look in the Eurozone,

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

The fiscal outlook for, let's say, France and Belgium, their leverage ratios, they're projected to continue to rise.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

But if you look at a pace like Spain or Italy, they've actually already gone through some pretty tough corrections in this regard.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

And they're actually making progress towards lowering their debt burdens.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

And so it depends on the country that you're looking at.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

But in general, I think that is a true statement.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

Yeah.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

So I think some of that has to do with just bond markets.

Marketplace
Rising ACA premiums, falling enrollment: It's a vicious cycle

We're kind of waiting to see the duration of this energy price shock.

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