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Paul Kudrowski

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
457 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

It's increasingly the case that you've got nowhere to run.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

And in a backdoor kind of way, private credit now is now allowed inside of...

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

retirement funds, you're seeing increasingly these showing up in other ways, not just as REITs, but let's say I'm an investor in private credit, thinking that as a retail investor, I'm now investing in, I don't know, take private operations for a manufacturer in Iowa.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

No, you're not.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

You're in data centers.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

And by proxy, by being in data centers, you're also in NVIDIA.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

So this notion of...

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

It's a complex system, but there is a single point of failure.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

And in this single point of failure is a couple of semiconductor stocks who are highly leveraged to everything that's going on and yet have kind of metastasized across each of these pieces from the S&P 500 to REITs to private credit to backdooring their way into new private credit ETFs.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

It's incredibly insidious and important, and yet most people haven't even realized how deeply it's insinuated itself.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

So I think the news headlines are, for starters, it would be the largest share of future building in terms of data centers is all through SPVs.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

So for me, it's people saying, oh, look, it's now all being done in partnerships.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

It's not as risky for Meta.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

It's not as risky for Amazon.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

Look, they're partnering.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

For me, that would be the hallmark of a bubble that's hitting the point of, okay, we need to really be paying close attention because the companies themselves are stepping away so aggressively because they see the effect this might have on them.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

And the other thing to watch for is...

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

Delays in terms of the provision of air conditioning and other of these ancillary equipment that's incredibly important.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

Interconnect gear for interconnecting racks and GPUs inside of these centers.

Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English BEST OF: This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst

Delays at one point were going out to four and five months.