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Paul Skenes

đŸ‘€ Speaker
244 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

You're going out of the zone, in the dirt, just hoping they swing, says Logan Gilbert of the Seattle Mariners, whose 208 and two-thirds innings last season led the majors. Trying to induce swings can add a couple of pitches per batter, the difference between finishing the sixth inning at 75 pitches and an untenable 95. Strikeouts also get pitchers noticed.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

You're going out of the zone, in the dirt, just hoping they swing, says Logan Gilbert of the Seattle Mariners, whose 208 and two-thirds innings last season led the majors. Trying to induce swings can add a couple of pitches per batter, the difference between finishing the sixth inning at 75 pitches and an untenable 95. Strikeouts also get pitchers noticed.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

That's what gets you drafted high and moves you through the minors, says Daniel Bard, a former first-round pick who pitched parts of nine seasons in the majors. If you can do that while keeping your walks down, you can be really, really good. Skeens' frequency of striking out hitters is the highest of any pirate ever, but he knows that also compromises his ability to work deep into games.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

That's what gets you drafted high and moves you through the minors, says Daniel Bard, a former first-round pick who pitched parts of nine seasons in the majors. If you can do that while keeping your walks down, you can be really, really good. Skeens' frequency of striking out hitters is the highest of any pirate ever, but he knows that also compromises his ability to work deep into games.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

To Skeen's, every at-bat should end in three pitches, a three-pitch strikeout. But at some point, I'm like, okay, let's get this at-bat over with. And he'll throw a pitch designed to get a ground ball. At the end of the day, I want to put up as many zeros as possible, he says, referring to scoreless innings. But if it's just five innings and no runs, I'm not super happy about that either.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

To Skeen's, every at-bat should end in three pitches, a three-pitch strikeout. But at some point, I'm like, okay, let's get this at-bat over with. And he'll throw a pitch designed to get a ground ball. At the end of the day, I want to put up as many zeros as possible, he says, referring to scoreless innings. But if it's just five innings and no runs, I'm not super happy about that either.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

Neither is Manfred. Lately, Major League Baseball has shown a willingness to tinker with its rules, counteracting some of the stultifying effects of analytics-driven baseball. Among other adjustments, it outlawed the shifting of fielders from one side of second base to the other and enlarged the bases.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

Neither is Manfred. Lately, Major League Baseball has shown a willingness to tinker with its rules, counteracting some of the stultifying effects of analytics-driven baseball. Among other adjustments, it outlawed the shifting of fielders from one side of second base to the other and enlarged the bases.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

After last season, when Skeens' 11-3 record and ERA under 2.0 focused attention on how the role of even the top starters has changed, many of the sport's stakeholders expected Manfred to issue some kind of edict about pitching, possibly a rule change that might be provisionally implemented in a minor league so that the ramifications could be studied.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

After last season, when Skeens' 11-3 record and ERA under 2.0 focused attention on how the role of even the top starters has changed, many of the sport's stakeholders expected Manfred to issue some kind of edict about pitching, possibly a rule change that might be provisionally implemented in a minor league so that the ramifications could be studied.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

Instead, MLB released a report on pitching injuries that revealed little that wasn't already known. I haven't even read it, Skeen says. Manfred describes himself as uncomfortable restricting how teams deploy their pitchers during games. I don't see how you can in the context of competition, he says.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

Instead, MLB released a report on pitching injuries that revealed little that wasn't already known. I haven't even read it, Skeen says. Manfred describes himself as uncomfortable restricting how teams deploy their pitchers during games. I don't see how you can in the context of competition, he says.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

Instead, he suggests limiting how often pitchers can be recalled from the minors, or how many can be on a roster. Not surprisingly, pitchers favor financial rewards, such as a bonus for anyone who throws 180 innings in a season.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

Instead, he suggests limiting how often pitchers can be recalled from the minors, or how many can be on a roster. Not surprisingly, pitchers favor financial rewards, such as a bonus for anyone who throws 180 innings in a season.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

A more oblique solution, one suggested to me by Fitzgerald of the Diamondbacks, would award additional draft picks to the teams whose starters remain in the game the longest over the course of a season. Such remedies would have consequences, though.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

A more oblique solution, one suggested to me by Fitzgerald of the Diamondbacks, would award additional draft picks to the teams whose starters remain in the game the longest over the course of a season. Such remedies would have consequences, though.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

The pitchers who throw the most would include the majority of baseball's best starters, many of whom would very likely end up on the best and wealthiest teams, the last ones you'd want getting additional draft picks. And roster limits would force the one-inning relievers to work two or three innings, which is like making sprinters suddenly start running the mile.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

The pitchers who throw the most would include the majority of baseball's best starters, many of whom would very likely end up on the best and wealthiest teams, the last ones you'd want getting additional draft picks. And roster limits would force the one-inning relievers to work two or three innings, which is like making sprinters suddenly start running the mile.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

If you start messing with the rosters, you're going to crush those guys, Scherzer says. You're going to create injuries. Already, baseball is straining to accommodate those pitchers whose elbows, shoulders, or other body parts have failed under the strain of throwing balls at such high velocities.

The Daily
The Sunday Read: ‘How Analytics Marginalized Baseball’s Superstar Pitchers’

If you start messing with the rosters, you're going to crush those guys, Scherzer says. You're going to create injuries. Already, baseball is straining to accommodate those pitchers whose elbows, shoulders, or other body parts have failed under the strain of throwing balls at such high velocities.