Peter Zeihan
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
The thing is the countries that have the youth, India,
Brazil, Indonesia, Turkey, haven't risen in wealth to a level to absorb global manufacturing capacity.
The only first world country of size that's left that is still a net consumer is the United States.
And while I can say a lot of negative things about the Trump administration,
One thing that they really do understand is the consumer base of the United States is a tool of geopolitical power.
And extending or denying that to other countries is a very powerful negotiation tactic.
I mean, we needed to negotiate a second round of Bretton Woods, a second round of globalization.
This is one way to do it.
The alternative is absolutely limitless mass immigration, which from a cultural point of view, no one's a real fan of.
At this point in time, it's at best like a really thin cane.
If you...
If your goal is to use someone else's young people to pad your demographics, so you don't fade away, you need to start before you have a problem.
And this is one of the reasons why the settler societies have always had faster growth than the rest of the world.
So the Aussies, the Kiwis, the Americans, the Canadians, uh, this has been less of a problem for us because none of us are from where we're living now.
And we've been bringing in waves of people over and over decade and decade into the centuries.
But if you started today, so let's just take Germany because the numbers there are really clear and the Germans are great with numbers so we can trust them.
The Germans, just to hold where they are, average age of like 50, just to hold here, already export dependent, just to not slide anymore.
They need to bring in 2 million people a year that are under age 25 forever in a country that only has 80 million people.
Wow.