Peter Zeihan

Then it was Shaheed drones that could do a limited amount of target selection.

Now it's something called the Octopus drone, which the Ukrainians are just starting to use, which is a drone interceptor.

It's a new day every day, and I have no idea how this is going to play.

I can tell you with the technologies that existed pre-war exactly how this war would have gone.

Those aren't the technologies that are being used in the war anymore.

Right, but this is why it's called the revolution in military affairs.

If you go back to roughly 1935, the technologies we were using then up until 2022, with the exception of the introduction of the jet,

really hadn't changed.

It was guns, it was artillery, it was tanks, it was ships, it was subs, it was helicopters.

The jet was the only one that was introduced, and that was introduced late in World War II, 1944.

We've had more technological evolutions in the last three years just in Ukraine than the rest of the world combined has had since 1960.

Wow.

So the rules, we don't know.

We are only in the very, very early stages of developing the weapons, much less the doctrine, much less being able to play that against a battlefield.

Right.

And we are very fortunate in the West that the Ukrainians will want to partner with us because they are doing in real time.

the sort of experimentation that is costing lives, that if we were doing this in a broader conflict, would have already claimed a million people.

Yeah, the last time something at this scale happened, a major conflict in which people were watching, it was either the Crimean War

or the American Civil War.

Because those were the two conflicts where industrialized technologies first really hit the field, whether it was a Gatling gun or penicillin or the railway.