Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Libraries Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Phil Trammell

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
150 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

As you were saying, another way of saying Moore's Law is... I like the pessimistic framing of Moore's Law is every 18 months, the value of computation halves.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

We're just running out of uses for computation so fast that it's sustaining Moore's Law.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

Possible.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

To me, it does seem like a pretty narrow window.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

My guess is that if we have the technology to automate

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

so many jobs that it becomes like a new kind of political problem, then the pie will also be growing really fast.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

Well, unless in all of those professions that it's automating, it's just a hair more productive.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

So like the cost of all the capital to replace all the software engineers is just, you know, a hair less than the cost of what we'd make as software engineers.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

Well, hold on.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

So I think it's worth separating like...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

how the revenue is raised, like what's taxed, and then how it's distributed.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

It could be that the government hands out shares of Anthropic to everyone by broad-based tax and then buying Anthropic, which would probably be the right thing to do.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

I mean, hopefully some like populist proposal doesn't interfere with that and like expropriate some like particular company that everyone happens to know about.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

Or consumption.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

Yeah.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

Yeah.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

I mean, that's not going to be that different from just like redistributing the stocks, but it'll be a little different.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

Yeah.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

Yeah, that seems right to me.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell โ€“ What remains scarce after AGI?

In particular, I just want to distinguish between the...