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Pierre Ferragou

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
54 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

Hey, Gaola, yes, that's a great question.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

So I think so.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

ASML basically confirmed what everybody suspected, that 2026 is going to be a great year.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

Now you have to take a step back and think, what does that mean a great year?

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

The guided revenue growth,

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

between 4% and 19%, which in absolute terms is very strong growth.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

As you mentioned, the bookings, we've never seen that level of orders at the SML exceeding 13 billion in a single quarter.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

Now when you take a step back, think about what is the downstream of ASML, who are the clients?

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

It's a Micron, it's a Hynix, it's a Samsung, it's a TSMC.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

And these players are actually growing much, much faster than that.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

They are growing, like if you take for instance TSMC, it's probably going to grow like between 30 and 35% this year.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

So we already see that semi-cap equipment starts lagging a bit their clients in terms of growth.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

And that's a very natural thing because they sell equipment to add capacity.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

And when you look at the trajectory of growth of AI, we are actually just passing the inflection point.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

Going forward, growth is going to continue to be very strong.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

But it is going to slow.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

And so it's going to translate into slower growth at semi-cap equipment manufacturers.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

And I really think this is the way the street is digesting the news today and overnight.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

Initially, the stock was up.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

And now the street is realizing, OK, but if 2026 is a peak spending year, maybe it's time to actually take profits on ASML as a stock.

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