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Pierre Ferragou

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
54 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

This is like CapEx.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

And you see that we expect CapEx to grow a lot this year, a lot next year.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

And as we are not too sure, we don't model much beyond that.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

This is a leading indicator.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

Now, what is going to drive the business of ASML is how much incremental capex you add every year.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

And what you see very clearly is that this incremental capex is now plateauing and coming down.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

And that's the reason why in semi-cap equipment, you have to be careful and expect a significant slowdown in revenue growth.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

For the rest of the industry, CapEx growth is a very, very good indicator.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

And then Texas Instruments is actually a very interesting indicator.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

That is the most important indicator today outside of AI.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

Because it's quite important to understand what is the global economy doing outside of AI.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

And we've been into like...

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

A very, very painful, lengthy down cycle in automatives, in industrials, and what TSMC said, it confirmed signals that we've had already for a few weeks that we are at the bottom and things are improving.

Bloomberg Tech
Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

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