Professor Gary Marcus

Welcome to Doom Debates.

Professor Gary Marcus, what's your PDoom?

You did agree that one data center pretty soon could be better than a doctor at doctoring.

Maybe it could be better than a general at commanding an army.

Maybe it could be better than Hitler or David Koresh.

Joe, great to be with you.

And thanks so much for showing the montage.

A lot of great stuff to talk about there.

I appreciate the question.

My probability of doom is about 50%.

So about even odds that in the next 10 or 20 years, humanity is just going to be over in a bad way.

Like there's just not going to be a human future.

The whole universe is just going to get conquered by some AI virus, some AI cancer.

And it's just over.

We lost our chance on earth.

We lost our chance to have kids, descendants.

That's how I see the world right now, most likely.

So if I understand correctly, you're kind of asking about the mechanisms, like what technology will it use?

What weapons can it use?

The first place I would go is I would go all the way to what you'd call science fiction, except it's not gonna be fiction, it's gonna be real.