Rachel Warren
π€ PersonAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
The big issue here, as Lou noted as well, I mean, this is a model which is currently very unprofitable and companies are trying to figure out how exactly they're going to generate revenue in a sustainable way.
It's very expensive to operate these models.
Many of these developers are banking on future profitability.
They're hoping that they can, you know, enact aggressive cost reduction as production scales up.
And I will say, I think that one of the more profitable areas that we
cargo delivery, government defense contracts, beyond passenger air taxis.
As exciting as it is to think of more and more consumers ordering their passenger air taxi to get from point A to point B, I don't necessarily see that being adopted as quickly as some of the more industrial use cases.
But I think we're really very much at the beginning of where this market could go.
One final thing I'll note, what's really, really key for adoption here is also having the regulatory guardrails in place.
And we've seen some movement where that's concerned even in the U.S.
So earlier this year, the FAA, they finalized new rules for the first new civil aircraft category since the 1940s.
This is for powered lift aircraft.
And that provides a clear regulatory path for pilot training and certification for F-TAL aircraft.
They've established an F-TAL integration pilot program to accelerate the deployment of these aircrafts.
There's a lot of exciting things happening behind the scenes that are going to really lay the groundwork for this infrastructure to build out over time.
I'm going to say Archer just to be contrarian to Lou, but I also really like the business.
I think for now, yes, they have a significant lead.
You know, as you noted, Waymo is offering fully driverless rides to the public.