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Ramin Nakisa

πŸ‘€ Speaker
746 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

It depends.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

It does generate a small positive revenue longer term.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

I mean, there's mixed research on it.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

It depends also on what you've got in the bucket, right?

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

Because if it's highly correlated, like if you have, say, high-yield credit combined with equity, they tend to fall together.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

So that wouldn't work.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

But if you've got commodities...

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

cash, fixed income, combined with equity, there you get much more alpha because they're uncorrelated.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

The things that make one asset class freak out and say, we're going to crash, that wouldn't affect everything in the portfolio.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

So it's just that rebalancing effect.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

Yeah, one of the tools I've written is really cool.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

It's kind of got the bond yield curve.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

So these are the individual bonds which the UK government issues.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

And it's got the yield on each one, which is roughly the return you receive on it, based on how many years to maturity.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

And it's like a living thing.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

I've got this animation tool so you can click on play and you can watch all the bonds kind of jiggle around.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

If you go back to 2022, it's all flat and low.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

And if you put it in real terms, it's below the curve, it's negative.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

And then suddenly in 2022, 2023, you get this huge inflation spike.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

the central banks raise rates and it starts going like that and it starts twitching.