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Ramin Nakisa

πŸ‘€ Speaker
746 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

I could see the grey hair, mate.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

But I think, yeah, the rules that people come up with, yeah, OK, you want to take less risk just before you retire.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

I think that's a given.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

There's something called sequencing risk, where if you're just about to start drawing on the money, so you have to sell stuff in order to eat, well, you don't want to have to sell things after they've crashed.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

So at that point, you want things which don't crash, which would be things like cash, money market funds, shorter duration gilts,

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

maybe even global bond funds, you know, non-crashy things.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

Because then if equity markets fall 40%, well, you can eat the safe stuff until equity markets recover.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

So you can avoid the sequencing risk.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

The way to think of it is you're kind of scooping off a fixed amount of stuff, right?

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

So if you're taking...

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

say, Β£40,000 every year is what you're selling from your portfolio.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

If the size of your portfolio is halved, then the percentage you're withdrawing that year is going to be higher than it was before it shrank.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

So that means you're depleting the portfolio much more quickly.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

So that's why you want stuff where it doesn't shrink, so you can allow equity to snap back up.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

I mean, some people I speak to, they're very nervous.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

So for them, they probably wouldn't want to be 100% equity because they will see a 40% peak to trough fall at some point.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

And they could be a nervous wreck if that happens.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

Or they may even sell, you know, the worst possible thing you can do.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

So I think that's really important.

Making Money
Why I'm No Longer 100% Stocks – Pensioncraft's Ramin Nakisa

It's about risk appetite as well as risk capacity.