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Ray Dalio

👤 Speaker
2928 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

or because they do pay it with money that is going to be printed to come back.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

So when you look at that, and that problem occurs

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

when there's a lot of debt assets and a lot of debt liabilities.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

So think of it this way, just want to make this clear.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

When there was the position that interest rates got a lot below the inflation rate, you're losing buying power.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

There's no good reason to own that.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

And there's a change in psychology because before there was I own bonds.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

The bonds go up in value as interest rates go down.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

So I'm getting a price appreciation, even though I'm getting, you know, let's say a low interest rate.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

But inflation isn't a problem until it's a problem.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

Then when it's a problem, because they print so much money and they put it out, then inflation goes up and a light bulb goes off.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

That light bulb used to be, okay, how much am I earning?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

Okay, I'm not earning much, but it's okay, the price of the bond or whatever's gone up, but anyway, I'm holding it and it's safe.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

And then people realize it's not safe.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

because I'm losing money to inflation.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

So now you have the central bank wanting to rectify that imbalance by, you know, real interest rates were minus 1.7%.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

Yes, if I look at inflation index bonds as an indicator,

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

or other indicators, I'm losing percentage points to inflation by holding that bond.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

And people realize that, well, you don't want to do that.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

And then the other side of it was you want to buy and borrow and buy stuff.