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Ray Dalio

👤 Speaker
3059 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

A lot of them are not.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

Those who bought the debt and have too much debt and have debt losses are

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

on government debt are not going to buy more of that debt, for example.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

And therefore, when the government sells more of the debt, there's not going to be an adequate number of buyers for that debt.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

You know that those who are hurting because they have those losses won't make loans.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

And a lot of those loans went to real estate, particularly commercial real estate.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

and you know that for various reasons in commercial real estate that you're um we don't use it the same way and so on so you're going to have problems in commercial real estate you know that this kind of money was also fine financing

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

venture capital and private equity entities that also have cash flow problems, challenges.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

And so you know that that funding is not going to be there in the same way.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

you know as a result of these things that a number of entities will cut costs and in their various ways and so depending on the on that the job market is changing and you know you see it for example in tech jobs and and other you know if you're in some of those areas that are getting squeezed

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

And you see the same thing, by and large, happening internationally.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

So you can see also that if you said, what is the value of those assets that are being held, that that value has gone down a lot.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

And because it was bought on leverage, as you described, because it is bought on leverage, there are bad losses in different places.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

And then the question is, what are you going to do with those losses?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

In most cases, quite often, don't mark them to the market.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

meaning don't account for them and recognize those losses, which is kind of, let's say, hiding those losses and hoping in time that they'll just over time, you know, it'll be fine.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

But that'll produce a squeeze.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

That'll produce a problem.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

So I think we know those things.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Why the U.S. Can’t Repay Its Debt, What Comes Next, and How to Prepare | Ray Dalio - PT 1 (Fan Fave)

We know those things.