Ray Dalio
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
government, spends $7 trillion.
It takes in about $5 trillion.
So it's 40% overspending.
It has a lot of debt.
And the demand for that debt is falling.
And it's falling not only because of the supply-demand situation, the regular supply-demand, but we're now in a world where even wars, the worries of...
of those who are holding dollar-denominated debt, that they could be sanctioned.
Imagine if you're Chinese and you're holding it, and you could have a conflict.
So there are these shifts that are happening in terms of that.
So that plays a role.
And, of course, there is the international conflict.
And of course, technology is changing at an incredible rate.
And so I think that as we take the next two to three years, it will be like going through a time warp that we're going to have a riskier period, but also a period of great changes that we, you know, are difficult to deal with.
And particularly, I think the question is how you deal with that to have a well-diversified portfolio.
But in answer to your question, it's a sort of long-winded answer, but I think that we're on the brink.
of some of these problems.
And we are, I would say, particularly in the vicinity of two years away from what obviously is a confluence
of more risks.
I think the most important thing for most individuals is not to market time
a lot of these things.