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Ray Dalio

πŸ‘€ Speaker
3074 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

So that's the mechanics about what's happening.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

Yeah, right.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

It is a source of revenue.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

And it will diminish that.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

However, the economics, it's small by comparison to the gap.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

So as I said, the mechanics of the debt situation really have a few components.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

The first is that when debt service payments add up, they squeeze out other spending.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

can create the equivalent of an economic heart attack.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

The second is there's a supply-demand issue.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

In other words, a deficit requires debt sale.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

And so we have a lot of debt sales, and there's a lessening demand for that.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

And then there are the central bank playing a role.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

So what we have now is, think of it as a big company or an individual.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

Except the main difference between a company, a country, and an individual or

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

a company and a government is that the government can print money.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

So that's the basics, but figure it this way.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

The United States, here are the numbers.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

The United States spends, will this year spend, about $7 trillion, and it'll take in about $5 trillion.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

So that means it's spending 40% more than it is taking in.

Bloomberg Talks
Ray Dalio Talks Fed, US Manufacturing, Tariffs and more

Because it has run deficits and sold a lot of debt, the total debt is about six times the total amount of money coming in, and we're seeing those debt service payments squeeze that out.