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Rob Armstrong

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
497 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

And so there's just more of the profits.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

But there's also one of the sectors that's growing earnings at a very lively pace this quarter is industrials.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

Like these metal banging, real world living in heavy metal kind of companies are doing great.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

And part of that, I wrote about this in the newsletter last week, is there's a handful of them working.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

where they're just building data centers and they're like putting in the air conditioners for the data centers and throwing the wires in the ground and putting the building up and et cetera, et cetera.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

So there is a handful of industrial stocks that have just gone bananas because literally they are beyond their capacity to serve the construction needs of the data center.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

You know, you can't put the air conditioners in fast enough.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

Caterpillar, which makes industrial machinery for mining, construction and such in a characteristically yellow color, also makes generators that produce backup energy.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

So they'll roll up with a huge backup generator for your data center.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

They can't sell them things fast enough.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

And that's been like the best, you know, one of the very best stocks in the S&P has been Caterpillar earnings wise.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

Yeah, they've been great.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

So two things working in banks' favour.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

One is if you're a bank that has a trading desk, so you're one of the big global banks, it's been a volatility playground out there.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

A trading desk doesn't need markets to go up.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

They need them to go zigzaggy because you make money on the zig and the zag.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

And so it's been a volatility carnival in the first going into the second quarter.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

So they're feeling great.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

The yield curve is still positive, which means short-term rates are lower than long-term rates.

Unhedged
The Buy America trade

That helps banks that borrow short and lend long.