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Rob Armstrong

πŸ‘€ Speaker
1389 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

Is that a fair description, John?

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

Okay.

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

Let me just do the basic challenge to that view, right?

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

Which is easy.

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

When you have a nominally one and three quarters trillion company,

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

But there is only 5% of it or whatever being listed, you know, or 10% of it or whatever it is.

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

You have a scarce number of shares, relatively speaking, right?

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

That means their price is going to be high.

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

And so to determine the value of the company, you multiply the price on these quite scarce shares by an enormous share count that represents the whole company.

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

And so...

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

Who's to say it's the seventh largest?

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

If you're only floating a small percentage of the shares, you can't just do that multiplication and declare this is the seventh largest company in America.

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

But all of these things work together.

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

Speed of entry into the index –

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

how it is weighted in the index relative to the actual float of its shares, other factors we can also talk about.

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

All of this basically allows for the speedy transfer of risk in this company from company insiders to Joe and Jane public.

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

is that changes in rules and longstanding practices are happening at a moment when the valuation of the whole market is extremely high, and that valuation is supported by a small number of companies that have extremely, extremely high valuations clustered around AI, which this is one.

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

Mm-hmm.

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

Mm-hmm.

Unhedged
SpaceX nears lift-off

Mm-hmm.