Rob Walling

I am predicting that the term AI will be used in fewer H1s one year from now because it will just be assumed that AI is built into everything. Now in the near term, I think the number of applicants to TinySeed and to Y Combinator that include the term AI will stay the same. Hopefully it doesn't go up. I think the percentage of companies accepted into Y Combinator

I am predicting that the term AI will be used in fewer H1s one year from now because it will just be assumed that AI is built into everything. Now in the near term, I think the number of applicants to TinySeed and to Y Combinator that include the term AI will stay the same. Hopefully it doesn't go up. I think the percentage of companies accepted into Y Combinator

that say they use some form of AI, it was like in the most recent batch was 85 or 90%. Like it was some astronomical number. TinySeeds wasn't that much, but it was definitely, if I were to just ballpark it, maybe 40 or 50% in our most recent batch. I'm not sure it's that high, but you know, you get the idea. Which is very much up from zero.

that say they use some form of AI, it was like in the most recent batch was 85 or 90%. Like it was some astronomical number. TinySeeds wasn't that much, but it was definitely, if I were to just ballpark it, maybe 40 or 50% in our most recent batch. I'm not sure it's that high, but you know, you get the idea. Which is very much up from zero.

No, we actually had, I think we had maybe 5% two years ago, three years ago, like before ChatGPT. It was kind of one in each batch was using AI to do something. And then, you know, it has slowly slash quickly ticked up to where we got a lot of applicants. The problem with a lot of the AI tools that applied to TinySeed is they have this super sharp command growth curve and crazy high churn.

No, we actually had, I think we had maybe 5% two years ago, three years ago, like before ChatGPT. It was kind of one in each batch was using AI to do something. And then, you know, it has slowly slash quickly ticked up to where we got a lot of applicants. The problem with a lot of the AI tools that applied to TinySeed is they have this super sharp command growth curve and crazy high churn.

And so you can't outrun that kind of churn, 15, 20, 25% churn. And I just think a lot of them are catching a temporary wave. And there's opportunity there in the short term, but to build a long-term sustainable business to make it that long, most of them will not. And it's the same thing you see on X Twitter or Blue Sky, folks launching and like, oh, AI, look at this growth. And then

And so you can't outrun that kind of churn, 15, 20, 25% churn. And I just think a lot of them are catching a temporary wave. And there's opportunity there in the short term, but to build a long-term sustainable business to make it that long, most of them will not. And it's the same thing you see on X Twitter or Blue Sky, folks launching and like, oh, AI, look at this growth. And then

Yeah, a few months later, the hubbubs died down, and you don't hear from them anymore. And then you see it for sale on a choir for a fraction of what you think it would be worth. And so there are very, very few. I'm not saying there's zero. There are very few that are, you know, quote-unquote AI rappers, chat GPT rappers, that will be around for years.

Yeah, a few months later, the hubbubs died down, and you don't hear from them anymore. And then you see it for sale on a choir for a fraction of what you think it would be worth. And so there are very, very few. I'm not saying there's zero. There are very few that are, you know, quote-unquote AI rappers, chat GPT rappers, that will be around for years.

My eighth prediction is one I referenced earlier. It's about self-driving taxis specifically. And the prediction is that self-driving taxis are legit. And anywhere that allows them to operate will quickly see them become the norm. I'm speaking from firsthand experience, having been to Scottsdale, Arizona. You know, you fly into Phoenix, Scottsdale's right there, butted up against it.

My eighth prediction is one I referenced earlier. It's about self-driving taxis specifically. And the prediction is that self-driving taxis are legit. And anywhere that allows them to operate will quickly see them become the norm. I'm speaking from firsthand experience, having been to Scottsdale, Arizona. You know, you fly into Phoenix, Scottsdale's right there, butted up against it.

And I saw ads for Waymo self-driving taxis in the airport. But of course, I have Lyft and Uber. And so I used one of those apps to get to the hotel. But then a friend of mine who lives in Phoenix said, while you're here, you have to try the Waymos. He said, it's all I take now. So download the app and try it. And I did. And Sherry and I rode around in a car with no driver.

And I saw ads for Waymo self-driving taxis in the airport. But of course, I have Lyft and Uber. And so I used one of those apps to get to the hotel. But then a friend of mine who lives in Phoenix said, while you're here, you have to try the Waymos. He said, it's all I take now. So download the app and try it. And I did. And Sherry and I rode around in a car with no driver.

And the steering wheel moves. And it takes up like one trip. It took me one trip to get used to. It is a super interesting experience to be in there. And you have full control of the climate. So you can make it hot or colder. You have control of the music. You could feasibly pair your phone, but it was kind of a complicated thing for music. But they had playlists.

And the steering wheel moves. And it takes up like one trip. It took me one trip to get used to. It is a super interesting experience to be in there. And you have full control of the climate. So you can make it hot or colder. You have control of the music. You could feasibly pair your phone, but it was kind of a complicated thing for music. But they had playlists.

Of course, it was a bunch of Christmas track from... Because, you know, it was late November. But after doing that, I was struck by just how pleasant the experience was. And the fact that self-driving cars are so, so, so much safer than human-driven cars is just incredible.

Of course, it was a bunch of Christmas track from... Because, you know, it was late November. But after doing that, I was struck by just how pleasant the experience was. And the fact that self-driving cars are so, so, so much safer than human-driven cars is just incredible.

And again, referencing earlier in this episode, I went to Google and asked how many traffic deaths, not just accidents, but deaths do we estimate will be reduced by these self-driving cars? And the numbers it quoted were between 90% and 94%. So in the United States, for example, there's somewhere around 50,000 traffic-related deaths every year.

And again, referencing earlier in this episode, I went to Google and asked how many traffic deaths, not just accidents, but deaths do we estimate will be reduced by these self-driving cars? And the numbers it quoted were between 90% and 94%. So in the United States, for example, there's somewhere around 50,000 traffic-related deaths every year.