Robbie Bernstein

And then I'm outside of Detroit, and then I'm doing Pittsburgh, and that's all road tripping to the Toronto gig because I don't have a passport.

So, you know, come make my stops worthwhile.

Uh, firstly, I find it amazing how difficult these storylines are to follow, um, and that they keep teasing deals and you wonder, okay, well, what's the actual deal here?

Uh, Axios is the only mainstream publication that had any of the details and then drop site news had, uh, more details on that.

Uh, from what I understand, you're looking at major concessions from Donald Trump, huge concessions.

And so to give the broad strokes on concessions, the biggest one is it sounds like Iran can just go ahead and sell oil.

So now they're just a part of the global economy.

They can sell their oil.

You're also looking at sanctions relief, money going to Iran, which is their money, but also talk of actually getting paid war reparations, which is huge.

um in terms of enriched uranium this is very unclear to me it sounds like they're going back to the jcpoa that they can enrich the timetable is unclear whether they got to wait a bunch of years to it uh it also sounds like they're going to keep their enriched uranium but dilute it within iran um but i mean the the huge and then also they keep control over the straits and i guess after a period of time could potentially be tolling it but that's also not clear

The only reason it sounds like we actually got potential here is that Donald Trump is waving the white flag and actually offering enough concessions where Donald Trump can walk away with the talking point of, hey, they're never going nuclear and then never really address the fact that he ended up with a more powerful Iran and in a significantly worse place than where the JCPOA actually was.

Now, it appears to me that when he made the Abraham Accords statement, he's throwing a monkey wrench into this and realizing, oh, I can't actually do this, so I'm going to sabotage my own deal.

I do want to give Trump a little bit of credit, though, and just float a possibility.

I don't think that this is true, but I want to float a possibility here that came across my head.

It sometimes kind of seems like Donald Trump is looking to checkmate Netanyahu on claims that Israel is not safe and that's why they have to be the aggressor.

And what happened the first time when Donald Trump said did the nuclear strikes on Iran was he turned around and said totally obliterated, which for about a six month period forced Netanyahu to get Trump's back because he didn't want to call Trump a liar on television right afterwards.

And so for a little while that had to seep to the sidelines.

um the big monkey wrench in this deal is that uh israel has to be done with lebanon uh and of course they left a little bit of wiggle room in there as long as hezbollah behaves then israel will not respond uh but it does somewhat feel with the abraham accords play

I, my read is it's a disingenuous monkey wrench and that he's looking to blow up his own deal.

But I also think that there might be a possibility of trying to kind of pin Netanyahu down to being like, Hey, quit pretending like you guys are the victims here.