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Robert Armstrong

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
732 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And you kind of know that going in.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And so you have to ride it out with them.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

But where the story gets interesting is when you try to sell this institutional product

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

with the kind of low liquidity that institutions are designed to handle.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

They have an infinite life.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

They have a diversified portfolio.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And you say, wouldn't it be great to sell this wonderful product to retail investors?

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

Because after all, where the real money is, is selling a product to retirees.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

That's the biggest pile of money there is.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And so you take this product with low liquidity and you sell it to retail investors.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

They actually have higher demands for liquidity.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And now you're trying to kind of square the circle.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

You've got investors who are retail investors, not institutional investors, who want and need liquidity.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And you have a product whose very identity is in not providing liquidity.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And then you mix in the AI stuff you're talking about, and it can be quite a combustible mixture.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

I know that was a lot, but I think the liquidity issue becomes live as soon as there's even questions about the credit quality issue.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

Yeah, I think we do.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And the important point I'd like to make to you and to your listeners is,

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

is that you can get in trouble, a product, you know, a fund can get in trouble at times like this, even if the underlying loan quality is good.

Prof G Markets
Why a Doomsday AI Blog Wiped Out $300 Billion

And I think there's good reason to think maybe the loans in this Blue Owl product that, you know, they were going to merge and they didn't and they stopped redemption and so forth, maybe the loans are fine.