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Robert Kaplan

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
119 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

College Station.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

Exactly.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

I think the, I'll talk generally, the attitude in boards is there is a window here where I think companies are more confident that if they want to do a merger, that they'll be able to get it done and they want to take advantage of that window.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

Yeah, so...

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

If you actually look under the hood in the portfolios, obviously you want to check what their industry exposures are, how much software exposure.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

By the way, there's nothing wrong with software companies.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

It's just you may not want them to be leveraged five times EBITD.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

But there's the portfolio issue, which I would argue, if growth is solid this year, we're unlikely to have a credit cycle in 26.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

So what's going on?

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

There's that liquidity mismatch.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

That's a big problem.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

And I think they're being confused, meaning there are certain BDCs that you have to offer quarterly liquidity.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

And when investors rush for the exits and they think others are, then they're going to rush.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

And I think in portfolios that have good matching of assets and liabilities, liquidity, they may be fine.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

Having said that, this is the crisis before the crisis, to quote someone else.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

If we have a credit cycle in the next two or three years, I actually think this concern now is going to be healthy because if we have a credit cycle, then you're going to see more issues in private credit.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

So

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

Well, obviously, the yield curve has drifted up because oil prices have drifted up.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

And people are concerned that central banks just aren't going to cut in the way that we may have thought literally a month ago.

Bloomberg Talks
Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, Robert Kaplan, Talks Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risk

Having said that, I think the private credit issue, maybe not this year, but over the horizon, is about...