Ron Flatter

His name is further ado, and he'll be in post-18, which actually might advantage him because he'll be away from some of the traffic working to the inside, and he'll be able to work out a trip going to that first turn.

All he did was win the bluegrass stakes by 11 lengths in his last race, and he got the best buyer speed that you're coming into this race of 106.

The fear is he could do what's called bounce, which is regress to a mean, and then all of a sudden if that mean is just sort of ho-hum, he finishes up the track.

The other side of this, though, he may be the best horse on merit in the race just off of that, and if he duplicates even 90% of his bluegrass stakes, he wins the Kentucky Derby, and that's what I'm banking on.

Well, if you go based on just the way they have raced and the way they have performed,

in recent times, then you have Flavian Pratt, who's a native of France, and he's on emerging market for Chad Brown, who also has never won the Derby.

But Flavian Pratt has, and he's on emerging market.

He's a horse who's only raced twice ever.

Only one other horse has ever won the Kentucky Derby on his third start, and that was in 1883.

You and I weren't even around for that one.

I was barely old.

Barely alive.

Yeah, Leonidas was that horse.

And so if there's a jockey who can make a horse go and look experienced, it is Flavian Pratt.

He had a great year a couple of years ago that won him an Eclipse Award.

He's now among the mix now of the best younger wave of jockeys coming along.

And you can put him on a horse and know that you're going to get a competent ride almost every time.

So he would be that jockey.

Well, Baffert.

The question is, does he have the horsepower in this case?