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Ronan Reid

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
128 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

I think at the end of this, SpaceX will nearly have 100 billion.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

It's raising about 60 billion.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

That's fresh capital.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

That's new shares.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

And then insiders will make up a lot of the excess demand I expect on the other side, which is the likes of index funds.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

And they're not just ETFs.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

I mean, if you took, I think in Ireland, the largest asset manager is Irish Life.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

a large percentage of its funds will be passive funds.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

So it's generally, it has become the norm in markets as such.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

So I would imagine that insiders will provide that secondary liquidity and sell some of their shares and new monies raised is around the level of around 60 billion is what's rumored now.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

Yeah, ironically, Tesla.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

But the amount of money raised, I mean, for context, the S&P index is $68 trillion in value.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

So it'll have some impact, but not a massive impact.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

I mean, the appreciation of stock markets over the last 10 or 15 years has been enormous.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

So that's $68 trillion, and I think the top four or five tech stocks account for about 25% of the indexes.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

So there'll be some impact in terms of liquidity and markets moving around, but I don't expect it to be excessive.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

The issue, I think, is a broader issue in AI, which is that a lot of the revenue numbers talked about, the annual recurring revenues and others, are all some of the tech companies trading between themselves.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

Somebody might buy equipment from NVIDIA, and NVIDIA might buy other services from the other tech companies.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

It's the nature of it.

Taking Stock
Is remote working to blame for weak junior hiring, SpaceX & Anthropic IPOs and Robotaxis

And there won't be like multiple winners.